Tennis · Challenger Metz · 15/11, 16:00
Prediction: Lenny Couturier vs Jonas Forejtek
Team pages: Lenny Couturier · Jonas Forejtek
Prediction summary
Winner
Lenny Couturier
Jonas Forejtek
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lenny Couturier
3-7 (W-L)
Jonas Forejtek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lenny Couturier 1437 · Jonas Forejtek 1555
| Lenny Couturier | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonas Forejtek (rating 1437 vs 1555).
- Jonas Forejtek is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lenny Couturier | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.3 | 11.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lenny Couturier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Benito Sanchez Martinez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Amaury Raynel M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Evan Jarzaguet M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Leo Raquillet M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Zaccharie Cado M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Florent Bax M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Jonas Forejtek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/11 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/11 | Moise Kouame Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/11 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Francesco Forti Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Matthew William Donald M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lenny Couturier vs Jonas Forejtek?
Our model gives 80% to Jonas Forejtek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.