Tennis · Challenger Metz · 15/11, 13:00
Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Florent Bax
Team pages: Hugo Grenier · Florent Bax
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Grenier
Florent Bax
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier
5-5 (W-L)
Florent Bax
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1526 · Florent Bax 1519
| Hugo Grenier | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hugo Grenier dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 55.7% break avg.
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Grenier | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.1 | 11.8-7.7 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 77.9% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Orleans · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/11 | Martin Krumich Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/11 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/11 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Florent Bax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Jack Loge M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/10 | Parth Aggarwal M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Melvin Vix M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/10 | Jack Loge M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Adam Bajurko M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Claude Ishimwe M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Florent Bax?
Our model gives 62% to Hugo Grenier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.