Tennis · Challenger Metz · 15/11, 16:00
Prediction: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Robin Catry
Team pages: Alejandro Moro Canas · Robin Catry
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moro Canas
Robin Catry
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moro Canas
5-5 (W-L)
Robin Catry
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moro Canas 1551 · Robin Catry 1486
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moro Canas (rating 1551 vs 1486).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.6 | 11.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/11 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Wissam Abderrahman M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Duje Ajdukovic M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/11 | John Echeverria M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/11 | Mae Malige M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Robin Catry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Philip Henning M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/10 | Gabriel Gomez Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moro Canas vs Robin Catry?
Our model gives 70% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.