Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mika Brunold
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Mika Brunold
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mika Brunold
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Mika Brunold
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
0–1
Mika Brunold
(1 last)
- 01 Dec0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1486 · Mika Brunold 1512
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0–1 Mika Brunold (1).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.8 | 12.3-13 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 66% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0 – 1 Mika Brunold (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0–1 Mika Brunold
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/24 M25 Antalya | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 05/11 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/11 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Federico Cina Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Ugo Blanchet ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mika Brunold
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Borna Gojo ATP Stockholm · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/11 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Remy Bertola ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Jaime Faria ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mika Brunold?
Our model gives 53% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.