Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Daniil Glinka vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Team pages: Daniil Glinka · Nishesh Basavareddy
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Glinka
Nishesh Basavareddy
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Glinka
4-6 (W-L)
Nishesh Basavareddy
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Glinka 1477 · Nishesh Basavareddy 1571
| Daniil Glinka | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nishesh Basavareddy (rating 1477 vs 1571).
- Nishesh Basavareddy is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Daniil Glinka makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Daniil Glinka | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.4 | 11.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 6 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 34% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 17/10 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Nishesh Basavareddy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Daniel Altmaier Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/11 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/11 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/11 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Jerome Kym Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Mika Brunold Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/11 | Milos Karol Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Gabriel Diallo Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Raphael Collignon ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Glinka vs Nishesh Basavareddy?
Our model gives 71% to Nishesh Basavareddy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

