Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Edas Butvilas
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Edas Butvilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Edas Butvilas
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
5-5 (W-L)
Edas Butvilas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1540 · Edas Butvilas 1448
| Michele Ribecai | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michele Ribecai (rating 1540 vs 1448).
- Michele Ribecai is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.7 | 12.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 50% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Henry Searle Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/11 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/11 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Filippo Romano Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Max Houkes Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Edas Butvilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/11 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Laslo Djere Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 17/10 | Nishesh Basavareddy ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 01/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Edas Butvilas?
Our model gives 52% to Michele Ribecai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.