Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 17/11, 10:00
Prediction: James Duckworth vs Eero Vasa
Team pages: James Duckworth · Eero Vasa
Prediction summary
Winner
James Duckworth
Eero Vasa
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
James Duckworth
3-7 (W-L)
Eero Vasa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Duckworth 1442 · Eero Vasa 1497
| James Duckworth | Eero Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eero Vasa (rating 1442 vs 1497).
- Eero Vasa is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| James Duckworth | Eero Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.1 | 9.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 19.7% | 28.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Cameron Norrie ATP Stockholm · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Kamil Majchrzak Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Eero Vasa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Goncalo Marques M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/11 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Matteo Gribaldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Michael Wright M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Falun |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Wojciech Marek M25 Falun |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Duckworth vs Eero Vasa?
Our model gives 65% to James Duckworth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.