Tennis · Challenger Metz · 15/11, 17:30
Prediction: Filippo Moroni vs Eliakim Coulibaly
Team pages: Filippo Moroni · Eliakim Coulibaly
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Moroni
Eliakim Coulibaly
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Moroni
6-4 (W-L)
Eliakim Coulibaly
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Moroni 1502 · Eliakim Coulibaly 1581
| Filippo Moroni | Eliakim Coulibaly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eliakim Coulibaly (rating 1502 vs 1581).
- Eliakim Coulibaly is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Filippo Moroni | Eliakim Coulibaly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.1 | 11.1-6.5 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 79.3% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Moroni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 04/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Eliakim Coulibaly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Jack Loge M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Thomas Faurel M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Louis Larue M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Nikita Ianin M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Louis Larue M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 14/10 | Guelord Kayombo M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/10 | John Echeverria M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/10 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Moroni vs Eliakim Coulibaly?
Our model gives 68% to Eliakim Coulibaly, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.