Tennis · Challenger Metz · 15/11, 10:00
Prediction: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich
Team pages: Matthew William Donald · Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew William Donald
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew William Donald
5-5 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew William Donald
1–3
Martin Krumich
(4 last)
- 02 Oct2-1 16-10W
- 03 Feb0-2 9-13L
- 26 Sept0-2 10-14L
- 20 Sept0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew William Donald 1563 · Martin Krumich 1507
| Matthew William Donald | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew William Donald (rating 1563 vs 1507).
- Head-to-head: Matthew William Donald 1–3 Martin Krumich (4).
Statistics
| Matthew William Donald | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.7 | 11.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Matthew William Donald 1 – 3 Martin Krumich (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew William Donald 1–3 Martin Krumich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/26 Challenger Bari | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 03/02/26 Challenger Koblenz | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09/25 M25 Pardubice | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/09/23 M25 Pardubice | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Marko Bekeni Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Filippo Romano Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Henry Searle Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Gabriele Pennaforti Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 16/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Martin Krumich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Matt Ponchet M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Patrick Brady M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 51% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.