Tennis · Challenger Metz · 15/11, 11:30
Prediction: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Alibek Kachmazov
Team pages: Cyril Vandermeersch · Alibek Kachmazov
Prediction summary
Winner
Cyril Vandermeersch
Alibek Kachmazov
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Cyril Vandermeersch
5-5 (W-L)
Alibek Kachmazov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cyril Vandermeersch
1–0
Alibek Kachmazov
(1 last)
- 12 Mar2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cyril Vandermeersch 1504 · Alibek Kachmazov 1596
| Cyril Vandermeersch | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1504 vs 1596).
- Alibek Kachmazov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Cyril Vandermeersch 1–0 Alibek Kachmazov (1).
Statistics
| Cyril Vandermeersch | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.3 | 14.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Cyril Vandermeersch 1 – 0 Alibek Kachmazov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cyril Vandermeersch 1–0 Alibek Kachmazov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/25 Challenger Cherbourg | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cyril Vandermeersch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Martin Krumich Challenger Orleans · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Kevin Edengren M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Patrick Brady M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/05 | Semen Pankin M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Sergey Fomin M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alibek Kachmazov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Seong Chan Hong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Woobin Shin Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 10/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cyril Vandermeersch vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Our model gives 68% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.