Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 15/11, 14:30
Prediction: Alexander Ritschard vs Leevi Saatela
Team pages: Alexander Ritschard
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Ritschard
Leevi Saatela
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Ritschard
9-1 (W-L)
Leevi Saatela
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Ritschard 1608 · Leevi Saatela 1546
| Alexander Ritschard | Leevi Saatela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1608 vs 1546).
Statistics
| Alexander Ritschard | Leevi Saatela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.2 | 12-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | – |
| Double faults | 2.1 | – |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | – |
| Break % | 46.6% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Ritschard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Luca Nardi Challenger Orleans · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Joao Dinis Silva Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Leevi Saatela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Matej Sabanov UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/11 | Patrik Homola UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/11 | Oleg Prihodko UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Sebastian Prechtel UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Lautaro Agustin Corthey UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | Jasza Szajrych UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Cas de Ruiter UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/10 | Brian Bozemoj UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/10 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Max Frohlich UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Ritschard vs Leevi Saatela?
Our model gives 78% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.