Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 15/11, 11:30
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Felix Alopaeus
Team pages: Cezar Cretu
Prediction summary
Winner
Cezar Cretu
Felix Alopaeus
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu
5-5 (W-L)
Felix Alopaeus
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1547 · Felix Alopaeus 1504
| Cezar Cretu | Felix Alopaeus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1547 vs 1504).
- Note: Felix Alopaeus makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Felix Alopaeus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.5 | 11.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 56% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Philip Henning Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/11 | Robin Bertrand M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Matias Reyniak M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Michel Hopp M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Garrett Johns M25 Malta |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Leo Borg M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Malta |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Felix Alopaeus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Lewie Lane M25 Falun |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Vesa Ahti M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Erik Johansson M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Turku |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/05 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/04 | Tomas Curras Abasolo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 28/04 | Raghav Jaisinghani UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Felix Alopaeus?
Our model gives 73% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.