Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 15/11, 13:00
Prediction: John Sperle vs Moez Echargui
Team pages: John Sperle · Moez Echargui
Prediction summary
Winner
John Sperle
Moez Echargui
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
John Sperle
6-4 (W-L)
Moez Echargui
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · John Sperle 1492 · Moez Echargui 1507
| John Sperle | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| John Sperle | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.2 | 9.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
John Sperle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/11 | Stepan Baum M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Antonio Caruso M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/11 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Marcus Walters Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in John Sperle vs Moez Echargui?
Our model gives 67% to Moez Echargui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.