Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 15/11, 10:00
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Svyatoslav Gulin
Team pages: Oskari Paldanius · Svyatoslav Gulin
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Svyatoslav Gulin
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
9-1 (W-L)
Svyatoslav Gulin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1542 · Svyatoslav Gulin 1564
| Oskari Paldanius | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.6 | 10.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/11 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/11 | Henri Haupt Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Pablo Perez Ramos M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 25/10 | Arda Azkara M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Svyatoslav Gulin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Valencia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Iannis Miletich M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Svyatoslav Gulin?
Our model gives 51% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.