Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 15/11, 11:30
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Arvid Nordquist
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Arvid Nordquist
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Arvid Nordquist
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
4-6 (W-L)
Arvid Nordquist
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1509 · Arvid Nordquist 1544
| Jay Clarke | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.4 | 13.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 70% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/11 | Felix Gill Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/11 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Arvid Nordquist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 01/11 | Matteo Sciahbasi Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Noah Thurner M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | James Connel M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Pavel Savelov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Arvid Nordquist?
Our model gives 62% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.