Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 17/11, 00:00
Prediction: Enzo Aguiard vs Christopher O'Connell
Team pages: Enzo Aguiard · Christopher O'Connell
Prediction summary
Winner
Enzo Aguiard
Christopher O'Connell
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Enzo Aguiard
4-6 (W-L)
Christopher O'Connell
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enzo Aguiard 1477 · Christopher O'Connell 1550
| Enzo Aguiard | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christopher O'Connell (rating 1477 vs 1550).
- Christopher O'Connell is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Enzo Aguiard | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.2 | 11.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 28% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enzo Aguiard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Akira Santillan Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Chuan Ding Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/09 | Filip Peliwo M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Christopher O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | August Holmgren Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Moerani Bouzige Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Dane Sweeny ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 03/08 | James Duckworth ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enzo Aguiard vs Christopher O'Connell?
Our model gives 72% to Christopher O'Connell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.