Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 17/11, 00:00
Prediction: Omar Jasika vs Alex Bolt
Team pages: Omar Jasika · Alex Bolt
Prediction summary
Winner
Omar Jasika
Alex Bolt
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Omar Jasika
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Bolt
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Omar Jasika
5–3
Alex Bolt
(8 last)
- 22 Sept0-2 7-12L
- 26 Sept1-2 11-16L
- 04 Feb2-1 18-12W
- 12 Sept2-1 18-15W
- 16 Mar2-0 12-2W
- 05 Jan2-0 12-6W
- 29 Oct2-0 12-4W
- 12 Apr0-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omar Jasika 1560 · Alex Bolt 1555
| Omar Jasika | Alex Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Omar Jasika 5–3 Alex Bolt (8).
Statistics
| Omar Jasika | Alex Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.6 | 12.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 72% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Omar Jasika 5 – 3 Alex Bolt (8)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omar Jasika 5–3 Alex Bolt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/26 ATP Hangzhou | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09/25 Challenger Jingshan | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/02/24 Challenger Burnie | 2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/09/23 Challenger Guangzhou | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/03/17 ITF Australia F2 | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/01/17 Challenger Happy Valley | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/10/14 Challenger Traralgon | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/04/14 ITF Australia F5 | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/11 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/11 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Jake Delaney Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 03/11 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/11 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Alexander Donski Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 31/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alex Bolt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/11 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/11 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Lloyd Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Akira Santillan ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Omar Jasika ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omar Jasika vs Alex Bolt?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Bolt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.