Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 17/11, 00:00
Prediction: Jake Delaney vs Akira Santillan
Team pages: Jake Delaney · Akira Santillan
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Delaney
Akira Santillan
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Delaney
3-7 (W-L)
Akira Santillan
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jake Delaney
1–0
Akira Santillan
(1 last)
- 24 Jul1-1 8-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Delaney 1496 · Akira Santillan 1524
| Jake Delaney | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jake Delaney 1–0 Akira Santillan (1).
Statistics
| Jake Delaney | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13 | 12.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 12.7 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 33.1% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Jake Delaney 1 – 0 Akira Santillan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jake Delaney 1–0 Akira Santillan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/25 M15 Nakhon Pathom | 1-1 | 8-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Delaney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Juncheng Shang Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 03/11 | Keegan Smith Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/11 | Kai-I Wang Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Akira Santillan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Christian Langmo Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 12/11 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/11 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Delaney vs Akira Santillan?
Our model gives 56% to Akira Santillan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.