Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 17/11, 00:00
Prediction: Alafia Ayeni vs Mustafa Ege Sik
Team pages: Alafia Ayeni · Mustafa Ege Sik
Prediction summary
Winner
Alafia Ayeni
Mustafa Ege Sik
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alafia Ayeni
4-6 (W-L)
Mustafa Ege Sik
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alafia Ayeni 1475 · Mustafa Ege Sik 1450
| Alafia Ayeni | Mustafa Ege Sik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Alafia Ayeni | Mustafa Ege Sik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.2 | 11.8-13.1 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafia Ayeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Alex Bolt Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/11 | Edward Winter Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Uisung Park Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Li Tu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Mustafa Ege Sik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Isaac Becroft Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/10 | Chen Dong M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Jesse Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Elijah Cham M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Chase Ferguson M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafia Ayeni vs Mustafa Ege Sik?
Our model gives 66% to Alafia Ayeni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.