Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 17/11, 00:00

Prediction: Moerani Bouzige vs Juncheng Shang

Team pages: Moerani Bouzige · Juncheng Shang

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Moerani Bouzige Juncheng Shang
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Moerani Bouzige 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWWLWL
Juncheng Shang 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moerani Bouzige 1519 · Juncheng Shang 1482
Moerani BouzigeJuncheng Shang
Our model55%45%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Moerani Bouzige makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Moerani BouzigeJuncheng Shang
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21-1.7
Games (G-P)11.9-11.313-13.4
Aces5.84.9
Double faults4.82.4
1st serve %74.7%68.4%
Break %30.8%33.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moerani Bouzige

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Christopher O'Connell
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/11 Isaac Becroft
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
08/11 Jesse Delaney
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
2-1 16-8 W
29/10 Isaac Becroft
M25 Tamworth
1-2 12-18 L
28/10 Hayden Jones
M25 Tamworth
2-0 12-6 W
22/10 Herman Hoeyeraal
M25 Tamworth
0-2 7-12 L
21/10 Zak Talic
M25 Tamworth
2-0 13-9 W
09/10 Casey Hoole
M25 Darwin
1-2 15-16 L
08/10 Jesse Delaney
M25 Darwin
2-1 16-14 W
07/10 Stefan Storch
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-3 W

Juncheng Shang

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/11 Christian Langmo
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
13/11 Dane Sweeny
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
12/11 Carl Emil Overbeck
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
2-1 18-10 W
10/11 Jake Delaney
Challenger Brisbane · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
26/10 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Seoul · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/10 Alexander Zverev
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/10 Sebastian Baez
ATP Beijing · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
24/09 Adrian Mannarino
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
31/08 Marco Trungelliti
US Open · Hard
2-3 25-20 L
14/08 Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moerani Bouzige vs Juncheng Shang?

Our model gives 68% to Juncheng Shang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.