Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 17/11, 00:00
Prediction: Casey Hoole vs Florian Broska
Team pages: Casey Hoole · Florian Broska
Prediction summary
Winner
Casey Hoole
Florian Broska
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Casey Hoole
7-3 (W-L)
Florian Broska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casey Hoole 1593 · Florian Broska 1469
| Casey Hoole | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1593 vs 1469).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 49.3% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Casey Hoole | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-12.4 | 12.4-13.5 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Li Tu M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/10 | Nick Beamish M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Florian Broska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 13/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M25 Slobozia |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 01/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Robert Guna M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casey Hoole vs Florian Broska?
Our model gives 57% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.