Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 17/11, 00:00
Prediction: Dane Sweeny vs Christian Langmo
Team pages: Dane Sweeny · Christian Langmo
Prediction summary
Winner
Dane Sweeny
Christian Langmo
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dane Sweeny
4-6 (W-L)
Christian Langmo
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dane Sweeny
3–1
Christian Langmo
(4 last)
- 14 Mar2-0 13-9W
- 21 Feb2-0 12-5W
- 03 Feb0-2 4-12L
- 05 Jun2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dane Sweeny 1495 · Christian Langmo 1627
| Dane Sweeny | Christian Langmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christian Langmo (rating 1495 vs 1627).
- Christian Langmo is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dane Sweeny 3–1 Christian Langmo (4).
Statistics
| Dane Sweeny | Christian Langmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11 | 13.7-11.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Dane Sweeny 3 – 1 Christian Langmo (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dane Sweeny 3–1 Christian Langmo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/25 ITF M25 Mildura | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/02/25 M25 Burnie | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/02/25 Challenger Brisbane | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/06/23 Challenger Tyler | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dane Sweeny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Juncheng Shang Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/11 | Casey Hoole Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/11 | Anton Shepp Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Tristan Schoolkate ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Christian Langmo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Juncheng Shang Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/11 | Akira Santillan Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 12/11 | James McCabe Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/11 | Ymerali Ibraimi Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/11 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/11 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/10 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dane Sweeny vs Christian Langmo?
Our model gives 51% to Christian Langmo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.