Tennis · Challenger Helsinki · 15/11, 13:00
Prediction: Luka Mikrut vs Iiro Vasa
Team pages: Luka Mikrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Mikrut
Iiro Vasa
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Mikrut
5-5 (W-L)
Iiro Vasa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Mikrut 1564 · Iiro Vasa 1448
| Luka Mikrut | Iiro Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1564 vs 1448).
- Iiro Vasa dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 45.1% break avg.
- Luka Mikrut is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Iiro Vasa makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Luka Mikrut | Iiro Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.7 | 12-13.6 |
| Aces | 5 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Iiro Vasa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Wojciech Marek M25 Falun |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Saba George Nanobashvili M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Loann Massard M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Meerbusch |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Emile Hudd M15 Turku |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Niccolo Catini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Fano |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Mikrut vs Iiro Vasa?
Our model gives 78% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.