Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 15/11, 04:30
Prediction: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov
Team pages: Ajeet Rai · Pavle Marinkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ajeet Rai
Pavle Marinkov
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ajeet Rai
3-7 (W-L)
Pavle Marinkov
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ajeet Rai
1–0
Pavle Marinkov
(1 last)
- 29 Nov2-1 13-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ajeet Rai 1476 · Pavle Marinkov 1434
| Ajeet Rai | Pavle Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ajeet Rai (rating 1476 vs 1434).
- Head-to-head: Ajeet Rai 1–0 Pavle Marinkov (1).
- Note: Ajeet Rai makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Pavle Marinkov makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ajeet Rai | Pavle Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.1 | 8.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 21.8% | 21.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Ajeet Rai 1 – 0 Pavle Marinkov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ajeet Rai 1–0 Pavle Marinkov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/23 ITF M25 Gold Coast | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ajeet Rai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/04 | Tomas Lanik M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/04 | Petr Kapuskin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
Pavle Marinkov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/11 | Derek Pham Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Blake Ellis M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Ronit Karki Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov?
Our model gives 59% to Pavle Marinkov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.