Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 15/11, 03:00
Prediction: Tai Leonard Sach vs Derek Pham
Team pages: Tai Leonard Sach · Derek Pham
Prediction summary
Winner
Tai Leonard Sach
Derek Pham
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tai Leonard Sach
6-4 (W-L)
Derek Pham
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tai Leonard Sach
1–2
Derek Pham
(3 last)
- 11 Dec2-0 13-9W
- 05 Aug1-2 18-19L
- 02 May1-2 22-25L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tai Leonard Sach 1479 · Derek Pham 1497
| Tai Leonard Sach | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tai Leonard Sach 1–2 Derek Pham (3).
Statistics
| Tai Leonard Sach | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.6 | 11.9-11.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Tai Leonard Sach 1 – 2 Derek Pham (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tai Leonard Sach 1–2 Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/24 ITF M15 Wellington | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08/24 M25 Taipei | 1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 02/05/22 M25 Monastir | 1-2 | 22-25 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tai Leonard Sach
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Zane Stevens Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Ymerali Ibraimi M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Darcy Nicholls M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Derek Pham
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tai Leonard Sach vs Derek Pham?
Our model gives 56% to Derek Pham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.