Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 15/11, 01:30
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Daniel Jovanovski
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Daniel Jovanovski
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Daniel Jovanovski
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Jovanovski
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1462 · Daniel Jovanovski 1530
| Evan Zhu | Daniel Jovanovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Jovanovski (rating 1462 vs 1530).
- Daniel Jovanovski is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Daniel Jovanovski makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Daniel Jovanovski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.1-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.9 | 8.8-8.2 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 36% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Yeonsu Jeong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Daniel Jovanovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Benjamin Azar M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Woodson Mcmillin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Matei Cristian Onofrei UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Cody Atkinson M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 23/07 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Matisse Bobichon M15 Brisbane |
1-0 | 9-7 | W |
| 26/03 | Harrison Satara M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Jesse Delaney M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Daniel Jovanovski?
Our model gives 61% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.