Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 15/11, 01:30
Prediction: Ymerali Ibraimi vs Thomas Fancutt
Team pages: Ymerali Ibraimi · Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
Ymerali Ibraimi
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ymerali Ibraimi
5-5 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ymerali Ibraimi 1495 · Thomas Fancutt 1452
| Ymerali Ibraimi | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ymerali Ibraimi (rating 1495 vs 1452).
Statistics
| Ymerali Ibraimi | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.9 | 9.4-12.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 20.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ymerali Ibraimi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Christian Langmo Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Alex Bulte M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Heaton Pann M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 22/07 | Derek Pham M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Matthew Shearer M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Charlie Camus M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 09/11 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Evan Zhu Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Woobin Shin Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Zijiang Yang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ymerali Ibraimi vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 60% to Thomas Fancutt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.