Tennis · W75 Sydney · 15/11, 04:00
Prediction: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Belle Thompson
Team pages: Chengyiyi Yuan · Belle Thompson
Prediction summary
Winner
Chengyiyi Yuan
Belle Thompson
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Chengyiyi Yuan
8-2 (W-L)
Belle Thompson
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Chengyiyi Yuan
1–0
Belle Thompson
(1 last)
- 09 Nov2-1 14-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chengyiyi Yuan 1535 · Belle Thompson 1500
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Chengyiyi Yuan 1–0 Belle Thompson (1).
- Note: Chengyiyi Yuan makes many double faults (10/match).
Statistics
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.4 | 10.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 10 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Chengyiyi Yuan 1 – 0 Belle Thompson (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengyiyi Yuan 1–0 Belle Thompson
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 W75 Brisbane | 2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengyiyi Yuan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Emerson Jones W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 09/11 | Belle Thompson W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 08/11 | Eva Lopez W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Yu Jun Lin W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Yushan Shao W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Sijia Wei W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Belle Thompson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Chengyiyi Yuan W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/11 | Caitlin Baker W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Alana Subasic W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Dayeon Back W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Ashleigh Simes W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengyiyi Yuan vs Belle Thompson?
Our model gives 65% to Chengyiyi Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.