Tennis · W75 Sydney · 15/11, 01:30
Prediction: Varvara Panshina vs Merel Hoedt
Team pages: Varvara Panshina · Merel Hoedt
Prediction summary
Winner
Varvara Panshina
Merel Hoedt
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Varvara Panshina
7-3 (W-L)
Merel Hoedt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Varvara Panshina 1529 · Merel Hoedt 1511
| Varvara Panshina | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Varvara Panshina | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-7.7 | 10.3-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varvara Panshina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Yushan Shao W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 0-10 | L |
| 24/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Chihiro Muramatsu W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Daria Egorova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Liuyan An W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Merel Hoedt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Yujia Huang W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 09/11 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/11 | Georgia Campbell W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Maria Andrienko W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Iva Ivanova W50 Pazardzhik |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Margaux Maquet W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Barbora Michalkova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varvara Panshina vs Merel Hoedt?
Our model gives 63% to Varvara Panshina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.