Tennis · W75 Sydney · 15/11, 03:00
Prediction: Nagi Hanatani vs Natsumi Kawaguchi
Team pages: Nagi Hanatani · Natsumi Kawaguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Nagi Hanatani
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nagi Hanatani
5-5 (W-L)
Natsumi Kawaguchi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nagi Hanatani 1496 · Natsumi Kawaguchi 1493
| Nagi Hanatani | Natsumi Kawaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nagi Hanatani makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Nagi Hanatani | Natsumi Kawaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.4 | 10-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagi Hanatani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Sae Noguchi W50 Yokohama |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Michika Ozeki W50 Yokohama |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Yujia Huang W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Hee Rae Im W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Saily Prashantkumar Thakkar W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Melany Solange Krywoj W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Nana Onozawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | BoYoung Jeong W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/11 | Catherine Aulia W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Xinyu Gao W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Ena Shibahara W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 26/09 | Meiqi Guo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagi Hanatani vs Natsumi Kawaguchi?
Our model gives 67% to Natsumi Kawaguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.