Tennis · W75 Sydney · 15/11, 01:30
Prediction: I Wen Wan vs Alana Subasic
Team pages: I Wen Wan · Alana Subasic
Prediction summary
Winner
I Wen Wan
Alana Subasic
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
I Wen Wan
7-3 (W-L)
Alana Subasic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · I Wen Wan 1620 · Alana Subasic 1473
| I Wen Wan | Alana Subasic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours I Wen Wan (rating 1620 vs 1473).
- I Wen Wan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: I Wen Wan makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| I Wen Wan | Alana Subasic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.7 | 10.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
I Wen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Katie Swan W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Ikumi Yamazaki W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Belle Thompson W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Taylah Lawless W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/10 | Ena Shibahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Alana Subasic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Himeno Sakatsume W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Belle Thompson W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 28/10 | Jizelle Sibai W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Naiktha Bains W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Georgia Campbell W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Nana Onozawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in I Wen Wan vs Alana Subasic?
Our model gives 67% to I Wen Wan.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.