Tennis · W75 Sydney · 15/11, 00:00
Prediction: Hikaru Sato vs Ava Beck
Team pages: Hikaru Sato · Ava Beck
Prediction summary
Winner
Hikaru Sato
Ava Beck
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Sato
5-5 (W-L)
Ava Beck
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hikaru Sato 1597 · Ava Beck 1445
| Hikaru Sato | Ava Beck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Sato (rating 1597 vs 1445).
- Hikaru Sato is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hikaru Sato | Ava Beck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.3 | 8.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hikaru Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Joanna Garland W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Jizelle Sibai W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Elyse Tse W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Katie Swan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Belle Thompson W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/10 | Erika Sema W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Renee Alame W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Merel Hoedt W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ava Beck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Olga Danilova W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Himari Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sara Mickoska W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Elyse Tse W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hikaru Sato vs Ava Beck?
Our model gives 79% to Hikaru Sato.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.