Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 15/11, 01:30
Prediction: Harrison Satara vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Harrison Satara · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Harrison Satara
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Harrison Satara
5-5 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harrison Satara 1491 · Dominik Palan 1454
| Harrison Satara | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 9.2 aces and 61.1% break avg.
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Harrison Satara | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.2 | 11.6-13.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 61.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harrison Satara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Blake Ellis M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Nikolas Baker M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Heaton Pann M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Alec Braund M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Maksim Shin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Anton Shepp Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Shinji Hazawa Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/11 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Arthur Weber Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harrison Satara vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 60% to Dominik Palan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.