Tennis · Challenger Sydney · 15/11, 00:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
Team pages: Hiroki Moriya · Sam Ryan Ziegann
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
5-5 (W-L)
Sam Ryan Ziegann
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hiroki Moriya
2–0
Sam Ryan Ziegann
(2 last)
- 02 Oct2-1 16-9W
- 29 Feb2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1544 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1530
| Hiroki Moriya | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hiroki Moriya 2–0 Sam Ryan Ziegann (2).
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11 | 11.9-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 24.3% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Hiroki Moriya 2 – 0 Sam Ryan Ziegann (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hiroki Moriya 2–0 Sam Ryan Ziegann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/24 ITF M25 Cairns | 2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/02/24 ITF M25 Traralgon | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Alex Bolt Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Nikolas Baker Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/10 | James McCabe Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Sam Ryan Ziegann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Casey Hoole Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Chase Ferguson Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/11 | Ethan Cook Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Chase Ferguson M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Chen Dong M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 21/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?
Our model gives 66% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.