Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 15/11, 03:00
Prediction: Maxim Zhukov vs Takuya Kumasaka
Team pages: Maxim Zhukov · Takuya Kumasaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Zhukov
Takuya Kumasaka
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Zhukov
4-6 (W-L)
Takuya Kumasaka
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maxim Zhukov
0–1
Takuya Kumasaka
(1 last)
- 26 Oct1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Zhukov 1472 · Takuya Kumasaka 1555
| Maxim Zhukov | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Takuya Kumasaka (rating 1472 vs 1555).
- Takuya Kumasaka is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Maxim Zhukov 0–1 Takuya Kumasaka (1).
- Note: Maxim Zhukov makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Maxim Zhukov | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.7 | 10.6-7.4 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 67% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Maxim Zhukov 0 – 1 Takuya Kumasaka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maxim Zhukov 0–1 Takuya Kumasaka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/25 Challenger Seoul | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Zhukov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Yue Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Stefan Storch M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Thijmen Loof Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/03 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Takuya Kumasaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Yi Zhou Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Yuta Tomida Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Zhukov vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Our model gives 60% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.