Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 18/11, 03:00
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Rio Noguchi
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Rio Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Rio Noguchi
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
3-7 (W-L)
Rio Noguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1431 · Rio Noguchi 1489
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rio Noguchi (rating 1431 vs 1489).
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-11 | 9.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 18.3% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Tin Chen Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Rio Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Taro Daniel Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/11 | Yi Zhou Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/11 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Alexandre Muller ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Masamichi Imamura ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Rio Noguchi?
Our model gives 66% to Rio Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.