Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 18/11, 03:00
Prediction: Ryuki Matsuda vs Fajing Sun
Team pages: Ryuki Matsuda · Fajing Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryuki Matsuda
Fajing Sun
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ryuki Matsuda
6-4 (W-L)
Fajing Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryuki Matsuda
0–1
Fajing Sun
(1 last)
- 15 Oct0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryuki Matsuda 1508 · Fajing Sun 1479
| Ryuki Matsuda | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ryuki Matsuda 0–1 Fajing Sun (1).
Statistics
| Ryuki Matsuda | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.2 | 12.1-13.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 70% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Ryuki Matsuda 0 – 1 Fajing Sun (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryuki Matsuda 0–1 Fajing Sun
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/24 Challenger Shenzhen | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryuki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Pawit Sornlaksup M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Sergey Betov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Fajing Sun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Billy Harris Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Shintaro Imai Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryuki Matsuda vs Fajing Sun?
Our model gives 60% to Fajing Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.