Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 18/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jie Cui
Team pages: Yosuke Watanuki · Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki
Jie Cui
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yosuke Watanuki
10-0 (W-L)
Jie Cui
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yosuke Watanuki
1–0
Jie Cui
(1 last)
- 26 Nov2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yosuke Watanuki 1633 · Jie Cui 1527
| Yosuke Watanuki | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yosuke Watanuki (rating 1633 vs 1527).
- Yosuke Watanuki dominates on serve: 11.1 aces and 51.6% break avg.
- Jie Cui dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 41.7% break avg.
- Yosuke Watanuki is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yosuke Watanuki 1–0 Jie Cui (1).
Statistics
| Yosuke Watanuki | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-8.3 | 13.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 80.4% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Yosuke Watanuki 1 – 0 Jie Cui (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yosuke Watanuki 1–0 Jie Cui
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/25 Australian Open Asia-Pacific WC | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yosuke Watanuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/11 | Coleman Wong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/11 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Dominik Palan Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Marin Cilic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jie Cui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Linang Xiao Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 23/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Yibing Wu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yosuke Watanuki vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 68% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.