Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 18/11, 03:00
Prediction: Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady
Team pages: Naoya Honda · Liam Broady
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoya Honda
Liam Broady
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Naoya Honda
3-7 (W-L)
Liam Broady
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Naoya Honda
0–2
Liam Broady
(2 last)
- 29 Oct1-2 12-18L
- 26 Mar0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoya Honda 1470 · Liam Broady 1479
| Naoya Honda | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Naoya Honda 0–2 Liam Broady (2).
Statistics
| Naoya Honda | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.8 | 12.7-12.6 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 29.3% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Naoya Honda 0 – 2 Liam Broady (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naoya Honda 0–2 Liam Broady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/26 Challenger Ningbo | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 26/03/26 Challenger Yokkaichi | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoya Honda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Jay Friend Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Liam Broady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Billy Harris Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Charles Broom Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 27/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady?
Our model gives 63% to Liam Broady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.