Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 15/11, 07:30
Prediction: Yusuke Kusuhara vs Hikaru Shiraishi
Team pages: Yusuke Kusuhara · Hikaru Shiraishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Yusuke Kusuhara
Hikaru Shiraishi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yusuke Kusuhara
4-6 (W-L)
Hikaru Shiraishi
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yusuke Kusuhara
1–5
Hikaru Shiraishi
(6 last)
- 09 Nov1-2 13-16L
- 27 Oct0-2 7-12L
- 05 Jul1-1 14-18L
- 18 Apr2-1 16-13W
- 27 Mar0-2 5-12L
- 27 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yusuke Kusuhara 1445 · Hikaru Shiraishi 1595
| Yusuke Kusuhara | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Shiraishi (rating 1445 vs 1595).
- Hikaru Shiraishi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yusuke Kusuhara 1–5 Hikaru Shiraishi (6).
Statistics
| Yusuke Kusuhara | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.1 | 11.4-7.7 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Yusuke Kusuhara 1 – 5 Hikaru Shiraishi (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yusuke Kusuhara 1–5 Hikaru Shiraishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Challenger Kobe | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/10/25 M15 Tanagura | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07/25 M15 Tokyo | 1-1 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/04/25 ITF M15 Osaka | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/03/24 M15 Tsukuba | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/03/23 ITF M25 Tsukuba | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yusuke Kusuhara
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Jay Friend Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Kodai Abe M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Sora Fukuda M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Hikaru Shiraishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 09/11 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Riku Takahata Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/11 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Yu Tanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 28/10 | Sho Katayama M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yusuke Kusuhara vs Hikaru Shiraishi?
Our model gives 72% to Hikaru Shiraishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.