Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 15/11, 06:00
Prediction: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
Team pages: Yuta Kikuchi · Taisei Ichikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuta Kikuchi
Taisei Ichikawa
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Kikuchi
3-7 (W-L)
Taisei Ichikawa
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuta Kikuchi
1–1
Taisei Ichikawa
(2 last)
- 08 May1-2 10-15L
- 10 May2-1 20-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuta Kikuchi 1434 · Taisei Ichikawa 1505
| Yuta Kikuchi | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taisei Ichikawa (rating 1434 vs 1505).
Statistics
| Yuta Kikuchi | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.2 | 11.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Yuta Kikuchi 1 – 1 Taisei Ichikawa (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuta Kikuchi 1–1 Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 M15 Wuning | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/05/21 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/11 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Boris Butulija M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 14/10 | Arthur Weber M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Noah Karma M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Ren Nakamura M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Blake Bayldon Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Anthony Susanto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Our model gives 57% to Taisei Ichikawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.