Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 15/11, 07:30
Prediction: Maximus Jones vs Yuki Mochizuki
Team pages: Maximus Jones · Yuki Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximus Jones
Yuki Mochizuki
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maximus Jones
4-6 (W-L)
Yuki Mochizuki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximus Jones 1474 · Yuki Mochizuki 1462
| Maximus Jones | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maximus Jones | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.1 | 9.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 59% | 29.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximus Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Sho Katayama Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Martino Guidotti Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/10 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Yuki Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 08/08 | Donghyun Hwang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Ruochen Gao M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximus Jones vs Yuki Mochizuki?
Our model gives 62% to Maximus Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.