Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 15/11, 03:00

Prediction: Koki Matsuda vs Shintaro Imai

Team pages: Koki Matsuda · Shintaro Imai

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Koki Matsuda Shintaro Imai
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Koki Matsuda 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWWL
Shintaro Imai 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Koki Matsuda 1492 · Shintaro Imai 1512
Koki MatsudaShintaro Imai
Our model47%53%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Koki MatsudaShintaro Imai
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.3-12.210.3-10
Aces5.75.6
Double faults2.32.5
1st serve %69%68.4%
Break %30.3%38.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Koki Matsuda

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Niels McDonald
Challenger Matsuyama · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
09/11 S D Prajwal Dev
Challenger Matsuyama · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
08/11 Yuki Mochizuki
Challenger Matsuyama · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
01/11 Kasidit Samrej
Challenger Taipei · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
27/10 Terence Atmane
Challenger Seoul · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
26/10 Beibit Zhukayev
Challenger Seoul · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
25/10 Geun Jun Kim
Challenger Seoul · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
20/10 Yi Zhou
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/10 Omar Jasika
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
18/10 Millen Hurrion
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 17-15 W

Shintaro Imai

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Fajing Sun
Challenger Matsuyama · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
09/11 Sho Katayama
Challenger Matsuyama · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/11 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Challenger Matsuyama · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
27/10 Yunseong Chung
Challenger Seoul · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/10 Uisung Park
Challenger Seoul · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/10 Kokoro Isomura
Challenger Seoul · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
07/10 Zane Stevens
M25 Darwin
0-2 8-13 L
01/10 Scott Jones
M25 Darwin
0-2 3-12 L
30/09 Zane Stevens
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Koki Matsuda vs Shintaro Imai?

Our model gives 52% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.