Tennis · Challenger Kobe · 15/11, 04:30
Prediction: Yusuke Takahashi vs Kousuke Ogura
Team pages: Yusuke Takahashi · Kousuke Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Yusuke Takahashi
Kousuke Ogura
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Yusuke Takahashi
6-4 (W-L)
Kousuke Ogura
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yusuke Takahashi 1450 · Kousuke Ogura 1532
| Yusuke Takahashi | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kousuke Ogura (rating 1450 vs 1532).
- Kousuke Ogura is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yusuke Takahashi | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13.2 | 12.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yusuke Takahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 13/10 | Maksim Shin M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/11 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | James Van Herzeele M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Maxime Janvier M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Ali Habib M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Seonyong Han M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yusuke Takahashi vs Kousuke Ogura?
Our model gives 52% to Kousuke Ogura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.