Tennis · UTR Pro College Station · 16/11, 21:00
Prediction: Nathan Mansfield vs Ludovico Vaccari
Team pages: Nathan Mansfield · Ludovico Vaccari
Prediction summary
Winner
Nathan Mansfield
Ludovico Vaccari
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nathan Mansfield
1-9 (W-L)
Ludovico Vaccari
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nathan Mansfield 1390 · Ludovico Vaccari 1555
| Nathan Mansfield | Ludovico Vaccari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludovico Vaccari (rating 1390 vs 1555).
- Ludovico Vaccari is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Nathan Mansfield makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Nathan Mansfield | Ludovico Vaccari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 10% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-1.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.6-11.8 | 10.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 22.4% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nathan Mansfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Prathinav Chunduru UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Leon Nickel UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/11 | Ben Stecker UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Gabriel Porras UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Thomas Edwards UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Mihai Alexandru Coman UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Oriol Font UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Leonid Sheyngezikht UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ludovico Vaccari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Bautista Leguizamon UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Joseph Patton UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Leonard Tramolay UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Andrea Pavia M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nathan Mansfield vs Ludovico Vaccari?
Our model gives 76% to Ludovico Vaccari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.