Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 13/11, 12:30
Prediction: Rudolf Molleker vs Sebastian Sorger
Team pages: Rudolf Molleker · Sebastian Sorger
Prediction summary
Winner
Rudolf Molleker
Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rudolf Molleker
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastian Sorger
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rudolf Molleker 1509 · Sebastian Sorger 1491
| Rudolf Molleker | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rudolf Molleker dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 48.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Rudolf Molleker | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.7 | 13-12.8 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rudolf Molleker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Heorhii Shylov M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Benedikt Szerencsits M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/09 | Bogdan Pavel Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Lourenco Silva E Costa M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/11 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/11 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 24/10 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rudolf Molleker vs Sebastian Sorger?
Our model gives 56% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.