Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 13/11, 11:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Lorenzo Giustino
Team pages: Marvin Moeller · Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Marvin Moeller
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marvin Moeller
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1530 · Lorenzo Giustino 1538
| Marvin Moeller | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marvin Moeller makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12 | 13-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/11 | Nikolai Barsukov Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Dali Blanch Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/11 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 51% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.