Tennis · ATP Finals MD · 16/11, 18:00
Prediction: Harrison/Skupski vs Krawietz/Puetz
Team pages: Harrison/Skupski · Krawietz/Puetz
Prediction summary
Winner
Harrison/Skupski
Krawietz/Puetz
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Harrison/Skupski
7-3 (W-L)
Krawietz/Puetz
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Harrison/Skupski
1–1
Krawietz/Puetz
(2 last)
- 12 Sept2-0 13-10W
- 16 Jan1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harrison/Skupski 1564 · Krawietz/Puetz 1568
| Harrison/Skupski | Krawietz/Puetz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Harrison/Skupski | Krawietz/Puetz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.4 | 13.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.1
Over 21.5: 65% · 1.66
Under 21.5: 35% · 2.10
H2H · Harrison/Skupski 1 – 1 Krawietz/Puetz (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harrison/Skupski 1–1 Krawietz/Puetz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 US Open MD | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/01/26 ATP Adelaide MD | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harrison/Skupski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Halys/Herbert ATP Paris MD · Hard |
1-2 | 21-23 | L |
| 07/11 | Miedler/Oberleitner ATP Paris MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/11 | Cash/Nakashima ATP Paris MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/10 | Seggerman/Tien ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Luz/Matos ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Arneodo/Gonzalez ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Krawietz/Puetz US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Heliovaara/Patten US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Krawietz/Puetz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Bonnaud/Branger ATP Paris MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 31/10 | Bernet/Stricker ATP Basel MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Polmans/Zielinski ATP Basel MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/10 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Basel MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Zhang/Zhou ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Stevens/Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Mektic/Pavic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Harrison/Skupski US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Ram/Salisbury US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harrison/Skupski vs Krawietz/Puetz?
Our model gives 56% to Harrison/Skupski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.