Tennis · ATP Finals MD · 16/11, 11:30
Prediction: Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassori
Team pages: Granollers/Zeballos · Bolelli/Vavassori
Prediction summary
Winner
Granollers/Zeballos
Bolelli/Vavassori
Estimated games
25.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Granollers/Zeballos
6-4 (W-L)
Bolelli/Vavassori
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Granollers/Zeballos
3–4
Bolelli/Vavassori
(7 last)
- 05 Jun2-0 13-10W
- 17 May1-2 16-23L
- 11 Nov0-2 10-13L
- 10 Aug2-0 12-7W
- 13 Mar2-1 21-20W
- 21 Feb1-2 17-19L
- 18 Feb0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Granollers/Zeballos 1510 · Bolelli/Vavassori 1489
| Granollers/Zeballos | Bolelli/Vavassori | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Granollers/Zeballos 3–4 Bolelli/Vavassori (7).
Statistics
| Granollers/Zeballos | Bolelli/Vavassori | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.8 | 12.8-13.9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 21.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.9
Over 21.5: 75% · 1.66
Under 21.5: 25% · 2.10
H2H · Granollers/Zeballos 3 – 4 Bolelli/Vavassori (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Granollers/Zeballos 3–4 Bolelli/Vavassori
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 French Open MD | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/05/26 ATP Rome MD | 1-2 | 16-23 | L |
| 11/11/25 ATP Finals MD | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/08/24 ATP Montreal MD | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/03/24 ATP Indian Wells MD | 2-1 | 21-20 | W |
| 21/02/24 ATP Rio de Janeiro MD | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/02/24 ATP Buenos Aires MD | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Granollers/Zeballos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Halys/Herbert ATP Paris MD · Hard |
1-2 | 16-20 | L |
| 10/09 | Ram/Salisbury US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Gonzalez/Molteni US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Jebens/Reyes-Varela US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 21/08 | Darderi/Etcheverry ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Gille/Verbeek Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Bolelli/Vavassori
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Cash/Nakashima ATP Paris MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Paris MD · Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-23 | L |
| 28/10 | Melo/Zverev ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-23 | L |
| 05/10 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/10 | Polmans/Zielinski ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Mochizuki/Watanabe ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Harrison/Skupski US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Krajicek/Mektic US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassori?
Our model gives 51% to Granollers/Zeballos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.