Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 13/11, 11:00
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Joao Domingues
Team pages: Ivan Ivanov · Joao Domingues
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Ivanov
Joao Domingues
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Ivanov
7-3 (W-L)
Joao Domingues
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ivan Ivanov
0–1
Joao Domingues
(1 last)
- 12 Feb1-2 16-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1521 · Joao Domingues 1509
| Ivan Ivanov | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ivan Ivanov 0–1 Joao Domingues (1).
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.4 | 10.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Ivan Ivanov 0 – 1 Joao Domingues (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivan Ivanov 0–1 Joao Domingues
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Mazza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Joao Domingues
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Alejandro Lopez Escribano M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Vasco Leote Prata Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Joao Domingues?
Our model gives 55% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.